重庆工商大学 长江上游经济研究中心,重庆 400067
孙芳城,管理学博士,重庆工商大学长江上游经济研究中心主任、教授、博士生导师,研究方向为区域经济学;
丁瑞(通讯作者),重庆工商大学长江上游经济研究中心博士研究生,研究方向为区域经济学、环境经济。
纸质出版日期:2022-07-15,
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孙芳城, 丁瑞. 河长制与产业结构升级:“坐以待毙”还是“涅槃重生”?[J]. 济南大学学报(社会科学版), 2022,32(4):85-99.
Fangcheng SUN, Rui DING. The River Chief System and Industrial Structure Upgrading: "Wait to Die" or "Nirvana Rebirth"?[J]. JOURNAL OF UNIVERSITY OF JINAN (Social Science Edition), 2022,32(4):85-99.
产业结构升级是深化经济结构调整,推进生态文明建设的关键举措。河长制是加强水污染防治进而有效推进生态文明建设的一项制度创新。实施河长制给污染型企业发展带来了重大挑战,迫使其进行生产结构调整,以倒逼产业结构转型升级。基于河长制的准自然实验,利用长江经济带108个地级及以上城市2004—2019年的面板数据,采用空间双重差分模型(SDID)实证检验河长制对产业结构升级的因果效应。研究发现:河长制引致的严格环境规制并没有使污染型产业“坐以待毙”,反而激发产业创新活力,调整生产结构“涅槃重生”,从而促进长江经济带产业结构升级,且对发达地区及长江下游区域产业结构升级的促进效果更加显著。同时,河长制不仅会对本地区产业结构升级产生正向影响,而且能够促进周边地区产业结构升级,并且其政策效果对地理距离较近的地区具有更多正向溢出。另外,产业结构升级在长江经济带区域内呈现出显著的正向空间关联性,本地区产业结构升级会对周边地区产业结构升级产生显著正向影响。
Industrial structure upgrading is a key measure to deepen economic structure adjustment and promote the construction of ecological civilization. The implementation of the River Chief System poses a major threat to polluting enterprises
forcing enterprises to adjust their production structure
so as to force industrial structure transformation and upgrading. Taking the River Chief System as a quasi-natural experiment
based on the panel data of 108 prefecture level and above cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2004 to 2019
this paper uses the spatial difference in difference model (SDID) to empirically test the causal effect of the River Chief System on the upgrading of industrial structure. It is found that the strict environmental regulation brought by the River Chief System does not make the polluting enterprises “wait to die”
but stimulate the vitality of industrial innovation and adjust the production structure for “Nirvana and rebirth”
so as to promote the upgrading of the industrial structure of the Yangtze River Economic Belt
and has a more significant effect on the upgrading of the industrial structure in developed areas and the lower reaches of the Yangtze River. At the same time
the River Chief System will not only have a positive impact on the upgrading of industrial structure in the region
but also promote the upgrading of industrial structure in surrounding areas
and its policy effect will have more positive spillovers to regions with relatively short geographical distance. In addition
the upgrading of industrial structure shows a significant positive spatial correlation in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. The upgrading of industrial structure in this region will have a significant positive impact on the upgrading of industrial structure in surrounding areas.
河长制产业结构升级空间双重差分模型长江经济带
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